This year’s Florida

[avram]

As of right now, Bush is leading Kerry in Ohio by about 102,000 votes. (According to the BBC’s fancy flash map, which takes its data from the AP.) That lead was as high as 160,000 not too long ago.

According to various sources cited in this thread on Kevin Drum’s blog, there are somewhere between 140,000 and 250,000 provisional ballots in Ohio, which won’t be counted for more than a week.

Kerry needs Ohio and Michigan and Wisconsin to win; he’s currently leading in the latter two, but only just barely in Wisconsin. If Bush takes Ohio and any one other state, he wins.

Kerry must feel like he’s three games behind in the playoffs.

Comments

[stormsweeper.livejournal.com]

If Bush takes Ohio, he'll win - a tie would go to the House, and I don't see them handing it to Kerry.

[avram]

Unless there’s a faithless elector....

[avram]

And it could happen:

In West Virginia, one of the state's five Republican electors, South Charleston Mayor Richie Robb, has said he may not vote for President Bush even if the president wins the state, according to the Associated Press.

[holyoutlaw.livejournal.com]

Aren't electors legally bound?

[volund.livejournal.com]

Aren't electors legally bound?

That is a state prerogative, and not all states legally bind their electors. And those who do have rather mild penalties, rarely enforced.

One of the links in The Center for Voting & Democracy's pages on that antidemocratic anachronism called the Electoral College (http://www.fairvote.org/e_college/) has a history of all incidents of "faithless electors."

[stevendj.livejournal.com]

But he also says he wouldn't vote for Kerry/Edwards, which makes it 269-268-1, and it still goes to the House.