Polling

[avram]

CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll: Kerry leads Bush 52%-44%. That’s among “likely voters”, those saying they’re likely to vote:

That is because Democratic voters are indicating they are more likely to vote than the overall electorate -- something that has rarely happened in past elections and may be fueled by the interest in the recent Democratic primaries.

Among registered voters, Kerry still leads, but by a smaller margin. 52% polled said they expected Bush to win in November, which means most Democrats are pessimistic, but that number should change as these very polling results circulate.

And Kerry leads Bush 49%-42% in Florida.

Comments

[bugsybanana.livejournal.com]

Josh Marshall points out that it is usually expected that the Republican will come out ahead for likely voters. Which means that our side is really really especially motivated to pull George III off his throne.

It looks better and better, don't it?

[redaxe.livejournal.com]

We'll see what happens when the Cowboy in Chief unleashes his Big Lie Media ads. Especially since the RNC is twisting arms (http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/03/07/moveon.ads/index.html) against one of the best sources of counterpoint ads about Bush Baby, Move On.

And, let's not forget that there's a lift in Kerry's numbers because he's (a) been winning primaries and (b) been in the news while the soi-disant President has been largely trying to evade questions about 9/11 and Iraq. Until now.

So, it looks okay, but it's going to be a long haul still.